OpenStrategy Research PUBLIC INTELLIGENCE

Evidence, interpretation, and institutional judgment.

OpenStrategy Research is the public publication and distribution layer of OpenStrategy. It turns original Index evidence, diligence methods and institutional questions into research that can be read, checked, cited and corrected.

Published research carries a stable URL, visible sources, methodology, limitations, and correction history.

Five notes. One developing record.

Research notes contain original analysis. Definitions remain a separate reference library.

OSIQ INDEX REVIEW · PUBLISHED 1 SEPT 2026

Correlation in an Asset Is a Condition. In a Strategy, It Is Behaviour.

Bitcoin's correlation to the S&P 500 has been positive every year since the COVID crash. OSIQ 30's own opening-window correlation to bitcoin was 0.48, with July at 0.64 and August at 0.23.

Teo Jun Hao5 minute read
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RESEARCH NOTE · PUBLISHED 11 AUG 2026

Collateral-Basis Valuation: What a Wallet Is Actually Worth

In August 2026 our pipeline valued a wallet whose largest holding marked at roughly half a billion dollars. Its real, spendable equity was about $23,000. Collateral-basis valuation is how a margin engine would read the same account: stablecoins at par, collateral-eligible assets at a haircut, everything else at zero. It changes how any onchain track record should be read.

OpenStrategy Research · Reviewed by Teo Jun Hao4 minute read
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RESEARCH NOTE · PUBLISHED 7 AUG 2026

Onchain Has Two Ways to Tell You a Trader Is Good. Neither One Is Ever Re-Tested.

A strategy we track returned −5.07% over a fortnight and +0.47% on the leaderboard's own formula. Hyperliquid no longer documents that formula, so we recovered it from 41,381 live rows and showed where it breaks: 34.6% of the visible field carries flows too large to read a return off the top line.

OpenStrategy Research · Reviewed by Teo Jun Hao7 minute read
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OSIQ INDEX REVIEW · PUBLISHED 3 AUG 2026

We’re Not Calling It Alpha

OSIQ 30 returned 11.09% in July against 7.26% for BTC and 18.47% for ETH. The number worth publishing is the path: a 3.26% deepest drawdown, against 22.97% for semiconductors on the same venue and the same daily closes.

Teo Jun Hao5 minute read
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OSIQ INDEX REVIEW · PUBLISHED 27 JUL 2026

A 1.69% Drawdown, Then a Near-Recovery

OSIQ 30 recovered to within 0.19% of its 23 July peak. The loss-and-recovery path adds evidence for evaluating Exposure Discipline and Non-Fragility over time.

Teo Jun Hao4 minute read
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Built to be read, checked, and cited.

Every substantial page should contribute original data, a framework, a primary-source conversation, or an explicit institutional decision implication.

RECORD

Permanent and machine-readable

Stable canonical URL, semantic HTML, publication and update dates, structured data, internal links, and citation-ready definitions.

EVIDENCE

Sources and methodology

Primary data references, clear fact and interpretation separation, limitations, conflicts, and methodology links.

CONTROL

Human editorial review

Automation may assist drafting, but a human verifies every public conclusion and material correction.

INDEPENDENCE

Commercial separation

Interviews cannot be purchased. Partnerships do not determine coverage, assessments, or conclusions.